Astral Codex Ten | Scott Alexander | Substack

Contra Hanson On Medical Effectiveness

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Open Thread 326

Apr 22

ACX Survey Results 2024

Apr 19

Ye Olde Bay Area House Party

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Updates on Lumina Probiotic

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Open Thread 325

Apr 15

ACX Classifieds 4/24

Apr 11

Highlights From The Comments On The Lab Leak Debate

Apr 9

Astral Codex Ten

Astral Codex Ten

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

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