I'd like to throw my hat as someone who predicted "invasion will actually happen, Ukrainian resistance will be significant." I was giving it one in three odds of a major invasion happening this year all the way back in December of 2021 (https://www.datasecretslox.com/index.php/topic,5442.msg198416.html#msg198416). It was in the context of international cheese markets because... have you met me? That's actually really on brand. Anyway, my predictions got increasingly more dire in the lead up to the war and I said a few times that Ukrainian resistance would be significant.
I don't mean to be petty. But I got a lot of pushback and I want the acknowledgment that I had a point. Also, I am not some Russian nationalist or hawk who regularly predicts war or doom. (I just recently bet against China invading Taiwan.) So I'm not a stopped clock being right twice a day.
I'd like to throw my hat as someone who predicted "invasion will actually happen, Ukrainian resistance will be significant." I was giving it one in three odds of a major invasion happening this year all the way back in December of 2021 (https://www.datasecretslox.com/index.php/topic,5442.msg198416.html#msg198416). It was in the context of international cheese markets because... have you met me? That's actually really on brand. Anyway, my predictions got increasingly more dire in the lead up to the war and I said a few times that Ukrainian resistance would be significant.
I don't mean to be petty. But I got a lot of pushback and I want the acknowledgment that I had a point. Also, I am not some Russian nationalist or hawk who regularly predicts war or doom. (I just recently bet against China invading Taiwan.) So I'm not a stopped clock being right twice a day.