Tuesday, April 1, 2025

At First I Thought It Was A Joke ...

 But then, it was not: 

Сербская армия самостоятельно освободила свою страну от немецко-фашистских захватчиков во время Второй мировой войны, помощь Красной Армии была ограничена, заявил президент Сербии Александр Вучич в интервью блогеру Марио Науфалу. «Да, мы получили помощь Красной Армии, но в основном это была наша армия. Помощь была ограниченная», — сказал он.

Translation: The Serbian army liberated its country from Nazi invaders on its own during World War II, and the Red Army's assistance was limited, Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic said in an interview with blogger Mario Naufal. "Yes, we received help from the Red Army, but it was mostly our army. The assistance was limited," he said.

Well, Fyodor Ivanovich Tolbukhin and 300, 000 of his men of the Third Ukrainian Front, including legendary 4th Armored Stalingrad Guards Corps and 17th Air Army, are spinning today in their graves. Yes, the guys who conducted Belgrade Strategic Offensive Operation. But ... but ... let's rewind back to 1877 ...

How prescient ...

P.S. "Serbian Army" then was called People's Liberation Army of Yugoslavia. 

When You See This ...

 ... thing--don't despair)) This is merely a representation of the kill chain, as well as the decision (Probabilities) tree. 


All this is in the foundation of C2 (Command and Control), and I explain why it is easy to spot weakness on the battlefield operationally. 


The Best Comment ...

 ... of the day)) She looks like what I imagined she would look like.

So, this is the face of the so called "left", but in reality, of the sheer madness which was imposed on the West by ... the West itself.  

Monday, March 31, 2025

Why They Are Not Bright.

The US is a fractured nation (or using Huntington's lingo--a torn one) and against the background of a precipitous (always not very high) decline of cognitive abilities of the best of the best the US "elite machine" produces, be them politicians or military, one has to question motives of those so called "elites". Going back to this NYT piece (of shit), Larry did a good write up about it yesterday: 

I can summarize the massive story in one sentence — Ukraine would have destroyed the weak, incompetent Russians if only the Ukrainian generals had followed the guidance from the US military. If you’re looking for a signal that the war in Ukraine is on its last legs, this article is it. This is a ridiculous attempt to burnish the image of the Pentagon and US European Command as strategic and tactical geniuses who could have beaten the Russians if only those damn Ukrainians had followed their advice.

But here is the critical point which is very interesting for Russian General Staff and military academies where, now confirmed by the NYT, intellectual impotence of Pentagon will be studied in astonishment for years to come. Here is this phrase. 

One European intelligence chief recalled being taken aback to learn how deeply enmeshed his N.A.T.O. counterparts had become in Ukrainian operations. “They are part of the kill chain now,” he said.

Let me translate it to you: using one of many definitions (all of them very similar) we define the Kill Chain as: kill chain is the ability of an organization to rapidly and accurately execute all the steps from locating to killing an enemy target. It represents the essential contest in modern warfareIn other words, cretins from NYT confirmed what Russians knew all along--the US was in full command and control of VSU top-bottom. Well, apart from the moral aspect of the story that the US military excelled primarily in attacking civilians and civilian infrastructure, the conclusion is not only warranted but inescapable--US military knows very little about modern warfare, especially in the C2 (Command and Control) field where even modern Comms, Computers and ISR are no match to a much more experienced and technologically advanced opponent with an immense advantage in kinetic means. 

For those who still do not understand the depth of this loss for--now we can openly state it--the US Armed Forces in 404, I want to remind you one thing which has been repeated by Russian military non-stop--Russian Army never lost operational initiative. American generals, however, have been looking, as it is now a pattern, in all the wrong places for planning and, as is always the case, descended into the tactical minutiae and PR-based assessment of the battlefield. The fact that they also bought 404's propaganda about casualties also tells everything you need to know about Pentagon. By the time they started to suspect something--it was too late. And then there was a "counter-offensive". It was planned by the US generals and, naturally, it ended in catastrophe for them and those unlucky 160,000+ VSU who have never reached even the first line of Russian defense and have been slaughtered in the forefield (security zone). This is what I wrote about this disaster for NATO and, naturally, strategic victory for Russia. 

The most stunning factor in this whole situation was the fact of not classifying the so-called “counter-offensive” by AFU, while classifying the assessment which, correctly, forecasted some serious issues for the AFU. This assessment was definitely driven by a common military sense and basic understanding of what is called the Correlation of Forces and Means (COFM). Of course, the problem for the West was that the Russian side was preparing to turn those “shortfalls” into unmitigated military catastrophe for Ukraine and the Biden Administration, who had pushed for this amateurishly planned adventure. But even this “classified” assessment—a marked departure from the Biden administration’s public pronouncements about the vitality of Ukraine’s army—should have given the planners in the White House, State Department and Pentagon a serious pause. But it didn’t. The reason it didn’t lies in both the U.S. military’s lack of expertise with real modern warfare of the 21st century across the board and in a precipitous intellectual decline of the fully “echo-chambered” Washington elite, whose insulation from reality and lack of serious competencies in any matters of military strategies and national governance reached grotesque and deadly proportions for both the remnants of Ukraine and for the United States itself. 

I can go off on a tangent of sorts here (again) while describing a dramatic cultural and institutional difference between American "way" of war and Russian one, but that is just the part of problem--the problem is in incompetence of American elites who are the products of a completely confabulated history and of fragile insecure view of themselves. The US is not the "finest fighting force" and it never has been and because of that, as Michael Brenner astutely noted:

Americanism provides a Unified Field Theory of self-identity, collective enterprise, and the Republic’s enduring meaning. When one element is felt to be in jeopardy, the integrity of the whole edifice becomes vulnerable. In the past, American mythology energized the country in ways that helped it to thrive. Today, it is a dangerous hallucinogen that traps Americans in a time warp more and more distant from reality. There is a muted reflection of this strained condition in the evident truth that Americans have become an insecure people. They grow increasingly anxious about who they are, what they are worth and what life will be like down the road. 

By getting involved with 404 and trying to destroy Russia, the US and its chihuahuas from European NATO collapsed this edifice and exposed a rather unimpressive structure which convinced itself that it can fight and win a conventional war against military superpower of Russia which has been such a superpower longer than the United States existed as a nation. A few good (and competent) men cannot fix the mechanism which was broken for decades and the SMO confirmed it fully. NYT, however, gave us an ample confirmation that the US ran the whole damn thing from military standpoint, and this is a critical admission. Or as they say on the street--FAFO. I thank you, NYT, for not being bright and exposing, accidently, the truth.     

Sunday, March 30, 2025

Well, Too Bad.

I can sense the frustration, but Trump needs to understand the game--warfare, real one, not some BS from Afghanistan and Iraq. 

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump said he was “very angry” and “pissed off” when Russian President Vladimir Putin criticized the credibility of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s leadership, adding that the comments were “not going in the right location.”  Agence France-Presse reported that Putin on Friday called for a transitional government to be put in place in Ukraine, which could effectively push out Zelenskyy. “If Russia and I are unable to make a deal on stopping the bloodshed in Ukraine, and if I think it was Russia’s fault — which it might not be — but if I think it was Russia’s fault, I am going to put secondary tariffs on oil, on all oil coming out of Russia,” Trump said in an early-morning phone call with NBC News on Sunday.

Well, I get his frustration, but he seems to not understand the reality still, despite obviously better (sort of) intel he begins to get. Nobody in Russia cares who Trump assigns the blame to--Russians have a very good understanding of the workings of American politics and military. That is why most of the comments in Russian social media as a reaction to NYT piece about US involvement in 404 was met with laughter and even mockery. Trump's time on SMO is running out--he, the US that is, in no position to dictate conditions, Russians are. 

Trump now begins to come across as this "tough guy" who never fought in real war with real enemies. 

He rages inside, because Russia stood against combined West and defeated it. He also doesn't understand the real war, because his "experiences" simply do not fit into the 21st century warfare but he cannot accept reality--this is precisely why the US loses its wars and then champions pseudo-military "excuses" for not winning those. Trump still has some lucid moments, but it seems his nature takes over him, despite the fact that on personal level I applaud some of his actions on the domestic front. 

Speaking of history. 211 years ago, Russian Army entered Paris:

Napoleon abdicated. 

Trying To Run ...

 ... interference by whitewashing a catastrophic defeat and trying to blame it on VSU and, maybe, Trump. US military incompetence is on parade. But we knew it all along. 



I Guess They Will Have To ...

 ... make ships and tanks out of papier mache and ... capitalization of banks. 


Well, what can I say ... 

British Steel will consult on the closure of its two blast furnaces, steelmaking operations and a reduction of steel rolling mill capacity in Scunthorpe. British Steel will consult on the closure of its two blast furnaces, steelmaking operations and a reduction of steel rolling mill capacity in Scunthorpe. Since 2020 the shareholder of British Steel, Jingye, has invested more than £1.2bn to maintain operations amid ongoing production instability and significant financial losses of around £700k a day.

Sic Transit Gloria Mundi.