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Center for Middle East Studies

Occasional Paper Series

The Other Regional Counter-Revolution:

Iran’s Role in the Shifting Political Landscape

of the Middle East

BY DANNY POSTEL

Paper No. 12 | July 2021

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Introduction

The recent election of Ebrahim Raisi, Iran’s new hardline president, has solidified a long- standing view of the Islamic Republic as a clerical-controlled regime that is highly repressive

internally and whose revolutionary foreign policies pose a threat to regional and international

stability. This view has dominated perceptions of Iran since the 1979 revolution and core

elements of this perspective are shared across the spectrum of debate on U.S. foreign policy.

Reflecting this pervasive narrative, Hussein Ibish, Senior Resident Scholar at the Arab Gulf

States Institute, has written that the goal of Iranian foreign policy involves “disrupting the status

quo and destabilizing neighboring states and societies.” This orientation, according to Ibish,

flows from the Islamic Republic’s “ideological commitment” to “exporting the revolution.”*

Iran’s intervention in several Middle Eastern states is typically cited as evidence in support of

this perspective. By contrast, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Israel and Egypt are

perceived as “status quo states” that seek to preserve political stability and regional order in the

Middle East.

In this new paper, Danny Postel challenges this conventional wisdom about Iran and its foreign

policy orientation. He advances a highly original argument about Iran’s role in the shifting

political landscape of the Middle East, with a particular focus on Lebanon, Iraq and Syria. This

critical intervention forces the reader to rethink core assumptions about “status quo” and

“revolutionary” powers and challenges us to reevaluate terms like the “Axis of Resistance.” This

novel thesis deserves wide consideration and debate in the hope that it will expand our

understanding of the politics of Middle East.

On a personal note, it is a huge honor to publish this paper by Danny Postel, whose connection

to our Center for Middle East Studies runs deep. From 2012-2016 he served as its Associate

Director and played a seminal role in building our center and raising its profile locally,

nationally and internationally. During his time here, Danny and I co-edited two books: The Syria

Dilemma (2013) and Sectarianization: Mapping the New Politics of the Middle East (2017).

Previously, we co-edited The People Reloaded: The Green Movement and the Struggle for Iran’s

Future (2010). When Danny first discussed with me the basic ideas that shape this paper, I

encouraged him to write it up. I hope you will share my enthusiasm for the final product.

Nader Hashemi

Director of the Center for Middle East Studies

Josef Korbel School of International Studies

University of Denver

* Hussein Ibish, “Conflict or Compromise: U.S. and Iran on Knife’s Edge,” Arab Gulf States Institute in

Washington, July 25, 2019: https://agsiw.org/conflict-or-compromise-u-s-and-iran-on-a-knifes-edge/

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Acknowledgements

I presented a version of this paper in the British Institute of Persian Studies (BIPS) workshop

“Iran and the International: Iranian Foreign Policy,” which took place June 8-10, 2021 (on Zoom).

I want to thank Shabnam Holliday of the University of Plymouth, who organized the workshop

in her role as Director of the BIPS research program “Modern Iran: Iran and the International in

the Modern Period.” I benefitted from her engaging and helpful comments on my paper, and

from the discussions with several of the participants over the course of the workshop.

I also want to thank Stephen R. Shalom, Professor of Political Science at William Paterson

University and a member of the editorial board of the journal New Politics (the co-publisher of

this paper), for his valuable feedback and suggestions on an earlier draft of the text.

Above all, I owe an enormous debt of gratitude to Nader Hashemi, Director of the Center for

Middle East Studies at the University of Denver, for encouraging me to develop my argument

into an Occasional Paper for the center. Our spirited e-mail correspondence and a series of

phone conversations over a period of several months helped me sharpen my argument. By

pushing me to consider various angles, Nader widened the aperture of this study. And his

comments on an earlier draft made this a much better paper than it would have been otherwise.

Finally, I want to say what a pleasure it is for me to have this paper published by the Center for

Middle East Studies at the University of Denver. My four years as Associate Director of the

CMES (2012-2016) were among the most intellectually exciting and professionally satisfying of

my life. My collaboration with Nader, which preceded our Denver run and has extended beyond

it, has been extraordinarily fruitful and deeply meaningful to me. Our intellectual partnership

has been a constant source of stimulation. It is a distinct honor for me to publish this paper

under the auspices of the CMES.

Danny Postel

July 2021

Chicago

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